Eloy Viera Cañive

For months, a commercial chess match has been playing out that began in Cuba but now has pieces spread across four continents. In Toronto, there is a mining company on the brink of collapse: Sherritt International. In Washington, a White House determined to referee who wins.

According to the Communist Party / government proposal, the state would remain a majority shareholder only in sectors considered strategic.

On March 2, 2026, Cuban state media echoed a meeting of the Council of Ministers in which Miguel Diaz-Canel said that urgent transformations in the country’s economic and social model had to be promoted. Among those possible transformations was a change in the ways the state and private sectors of the economy can associate with one another. Hours later, the Official Gazette published Decree-Law 114/2025 and a complementary regulation governing partnerships between state-owned business entities and private actors.

Since February 5, 2026, media and political attention has intensified around the possible presence of United States military vessels in waters near the north of Cuba.

Trump calls it a threat to National Security.

Official Cuban media circulated messages on Sunday that raised questions inside and outside the island about a possible declaration of a state of war in the country.

If Cuba’s political landscape does not change, there is a real risk that in 50 years the Cuban nation will no longer exist as we know it, but only as an ever-diminishing remnant: an aging, impoverished population trapped in the prolongation of a regime that presents itself as mutable in form, but eternal in essence.

El Toque has been publishing a Representative Currency Exchange Rate for some time now. It fills a need as the Cuban government maintains an “official” exchange rate that defies reality. This article comes after the latest attack on El Toque for informing the citizenry amid the systematic void left by the Cuban Communist Party and its government.

What kind of state governed by the rule of law releases an alleged criminal just because its political adversary asks it to? There is no interpretation of Ferrer’s banishment that favors the Cuban regime.

Official discourse in Cuba has once again equated citizen protest with the right to complain, deeming any public demonstration outside the framework of “institutionality” as illegitimate.

The legal battle is over. CRF I Ltd, a Cayman Islands investment fund, can now enforce its $75M claim over defaulted Cuban debt. The ruling sets a precedent by recognizing CRF as a legitimate creditor and may open the door to further lawsuits involving the Cuban State.

On December 5, 2024, the Official Gazette published Resolution 56 from the Ministry of Domestic Trade. Among other provisions, it mandates the cancellation of all commercial licenses granted to cooperatives and small and medium-sized private businesses that had authorized wholesale trade as a secondary activity within their main activity. 

Many analysts predicted that tough times were ahead for relations between Cuba and the United States. They argued that Donald Trump’s election, by itself, was enough to foresee the return of a hardline policy toward the island. The appointment of Marco Rubio as the candidate to head the State Department under the new Administration —which begins on January 20, 2025— only confirms these expectations.

When it comes to personal preferences and assessments in uncertain scenarios, there isn’t one correct answer. For this reason, when discussing preferences and probabilities in the electoral arena, it’s advisable to first focus on the priorities of those eligible to vote.

Abandoning state paternalism, when the government is unable to ensure the minimal functioning of the country, means leaving people to their fate, bound hand and foot. One need not wait for disaster situations to confirm this.